trader profile

pkz

0x49b60d2cda22653ddc8b6ef21bad6d012a7f170c
Open MV$29.8K11 positions
Open PnL+$16.1K117.0% on basis
Realized PnL-$6163 closed
Hit rate46%Wilson lower 34%
Volume observed$56.6K200 trades · 99 markets
Current rank—last trade 6d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yesin 208d35,39524.2¢67.5¢+178.5%$23.9K+$15.3K
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d2,48063.0¢69.0¢+9.5%$1.7K+$149
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?Noin 208d1,50983.6¢87.0¢+4.0%$1.3K+$51
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?Noin 24d90593.9¢96.5¢+2.9%$874+$24
Kash Patel out by June 30?Noin 24d98336.3¢82.5¢+127.4%$811+$454
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Yesin 208d1,60633.0¢34.0¢+3.1%$546+$16
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Noin 24d55258.0¢92.5¢+59.5%$511+$191
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?Yesin 208d10069.0¢64.0¢-7.2%$64-$5
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 20…Noin 24d4091.0¢94.0¢+3.3%$38+$1
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Noin 57d2,0766.7¢1.4¢-80.0%$28-$112
Will Austria participate in Eurovision 2027?Yesin 208d3979.2¢55.0¢-30.6%$22-$10

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will PSV Eindhoven win Eredivisie?Yes1199.0¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-06-07 00:00 UTC
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?No1,79597.0¢100.0¢+$54resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes77312.1¢95.9¢+$648trade2026-05-30 03:37 UTC
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes1,57112.1¢97.3¢+$1.3Ktrade2026-05-30 03:36 UTC
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes5012.7¢7.2¢-$3trade2026-05-28 06:37 UTC
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes11812.7¢7.3¢-$6trade2026-05-28 06:37 UTC
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes30712.7¢7.5¢-$16trade2026-05-28 06:36 UTC
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes5039.8¢9.2¢-$3trade2026-05-28 01:54 UTC
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No1,38489.6¢90.2¢+$8trade2026-05-27 06:47 UTC
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Karman…Harmony Tan2,00086.0¢100.0¢+$280resolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Champio…Yes8,0377.8¢0.0¢-$630resolution2026-05-25 00:00 UTC
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broke…No59212.2¢100.0¢+$520resolution2026-05-25 00:00 UTC
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5…Yes95641.8¢16.3¢-$243trade2026-05-23 08:29 UTC
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5…Yes9741.8¢30.0¢-$11trade2026-05-22 21:18 UTC
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5…Yes6741.8¢30.0¢-$8trade2026-05-22 20:01 UTC
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 package…Yes48367.3¢2.0¢-$315trade2026-05-22 01:06 UTC
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 package…Yes13566.0¢33.0¢-$45trade2026-05-22 00:51 UTC
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 package…Yes34066.0¢30.5¢-$121trade2026-05-22 00:49 UTC
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 A…No553.2¢99.9¢+$2trade2026-05-21 18:39 UTC
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 A…No1253.2¢99.9¢+$6trade2026-05-21 18:39 UTC
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 A…No1653.2¢99.9¢+$7trade2026-05-21 18:39 UTC
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 A…No1353.2¢99.9¢+$6trade2026-05-21 18:39 UTC
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 A…No2353.2¢99.9¢+$11trade2026-05-21 18:38 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes1,53796.2¢99.8¢+$55trade2026-05-21 17:42 UTC
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through M…Yes15189.4¢0.0¢-$135resolution2026-05-21 00:00 UTC
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 package…Yes28967.3¢0.0¢-$194resolution2026-05-21 00:00 UTC
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 package…Yes96499.4¢100.0¢+$6resolution2026-05-21 00:00 UTC
Oeiras 4: Colton Smith vs Jack Pinnington JonesJack Pinnington Jones36667.0¢0.0¢-$245resolution2026-05-20 00:00 UTC
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end…No45250.1¢1.8¢-$218trade2026-05-19 01:03 UTC
Zagreb: Thiago Monteiro vs Andres AndradeThiago Monteiro82058.0¢0.0¢-$476resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over26379.0¢0.0¢-$208resolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026…Yes50055.0¢99.9¢+$225trade2026-05-16 22:44 UTC
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes2,27516.8¢0.0¢-$381resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 G…Yes1,83117.2¢0.0¢-$315resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026…Yes2220.2¢0.0¢-$0resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes2,61812.6¢100.0¢+$2.3Kresolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes13,4675.5¢0.0¢-$740resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026…Yes5009.0¢0.0¢-$45resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 20…Yes83825.0¢100.0¢+$629resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Yes4,6664.4¢0.0¢-$205resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes5,00014.0¢0.0¢-$700resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes11,91911.7¢0.0¢-$1.4Kresolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes1,07650.0¢0.0¢-$538resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No4,83519.5¢0.0¢-$943resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes65715.0¢0.0¢-$99resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Gr…Yes17,4370.5¢0.0¢-$89resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes5,28015.7¢0.0¢-$831resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?No16715.7¢80.0¢+$107trade2026-05-15 01:03 UTC
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–2…Yes9036.4¢2.2¢-$31trade2026-05-14 03:51 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes5,1963.3¢0.0¢-$172resolution2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-30 03:37 UTCSELL77395.9¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes
2026-05-30 03:36 UTCSELL1,57197.3¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes
2026-05-28 07:27 UTCBUY3979.2¢Will Austria participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes
2026-05-28 06:37 UTCSELL507.2¢Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 06:37 UTCSELL1187.3¢Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 06:36 UTCSELL3077.5¢Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 06:32 UTCBUY56695.4¢Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?No
2026-05-28 01:54 UTCSELL5039.2¢Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 01:54 UTCBUY2,48063.0¢Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No
2026-05-27 06:49 UTCBUY1,1319.8¢Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 06:47 UTCSELL1,38490.2¢Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No
2026-05-27 06:00 UTCBUY4091.0¢Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?No
2026-05-25 20:45 UTCBUY80482.3¢José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No
2026-05-25 04:02 UTCBUY1,38489.6¢Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No
2026-05-25 02:31 UTCBUY1,98011.5¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes
2026-05-23 21:38 UTCBUY6965.8¢Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-23 18:39 UTCBUY59212.2¢Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?NoResolved
2026-05-23 08:29 UTCSELL95616.3¢Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)YesResolved
2026-05-23 06:20 UTCBUY36415.0¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes
2026-05-22 21:18 UTCSELL9730.0¢Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)YesResolved
2026-05-22 20:01 UTCSELL6730.0¢Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)YesResolved
2026-05-22 01:06 UTCSELL4832.0¢Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:…YesResolved
2026-05-22 00:59 UTCBUY25074.5¢Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:…YesResolved
2026-05-22 00:57 UTCBUY16359.0¢Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:…YesResolved
2026-05-22 00:51 UTCSELL13533.0¢Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:…YesResolved
2026-05-22 00:49 UTCSELL34030.5¢Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:…YesResolved
2026-05-21 18:39 UTCBUY4888.0¢Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-21 18:39 UTCSELL599.9¢Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia…No
2026-05-21 18:39 UTCSELL1299.9¢Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia…No
2026-05-21 18:39 UTCSELL1699.9¢Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia…No
2026-05-21 18:39 UTCSELL1399.9¢Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia…No
2026-05-21 18:38 UTCSELL2399.9¢Will Partido Popular (PP) win 50-52 seats in the 2026 Andalusia…No
2026-05-21 17:43 UTCBUY1,79597.0¢Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?NoResolved
2026-05-21 17:42 UTCSELL1,53799.8¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes
2026-05-21 00:43 UTCSELL21956.0¢Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?YesResolved
2026-05-21 00:41 UTCBUY1,12041.8¢Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)YesResolved
2026-05-20 22:13 UTCBUY83466.0¢Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:…YesResolved
2026-05-20 05:23 UTCBUY30096.2¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes
2026-05-20 05:07 UTCBUY1,25596.3¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes
2026-05-20 05:05 UTCBUY68969.1¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes
2026-05-20 04:20 UTCBUY22555.0¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes
2026-05-20 02:57 UTCBUY42186.0¢José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No
2026-05-20 02:09 UTCBUY28483.8¢José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No
2026-05-20 01:50 UTCBUY96499.4¢Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:…YesResolved
2026-05-20 01:25 UTCBUY15189.4¢Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 1…YesResolved
2026-05-19 19:30 UTCBUY8,0377.8¢Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to…YesResolved
2026-05-19 01:03 UTCSELL5251.8¢Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-19 00:46 UTCBUY1,00086.0¢Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Karman ThandiHarmony TanResolved
2026-05-19 00:44 UTCBUY1,00086.0¢Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Karman ThandiHarmony TanResolved
2026-05-18 21:21 UTCBUY1,0781.0¢Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squa…YesResolved