trader profile
tre-polysights
0x38390d45f459a7c4b413eb6e78bd57dbf8e7e2ee
Open MV$4.6K4 positions
Open PnL-$10-0.2% on basis
Realized PnL+$2.0K56 closed
Hit rate55%Wilson lower 42%
Volume observed$59.2K200 trades · 67 markets
Current rank—last trade 6d ago
Open book
Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
| Market · Outcome | Size | Avg cost | Current | Δ% | MV | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 4,150 | 61.2¢ | 60.5¢ | -1.1% | $2.5K | -$29 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Noin 206d | 3,205 | 45.2¢ | 39.0¢ | -13.7% | $1.2K | -$199 |
| APYX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yesin 572d | 1,000 | 50.0¢ | 72.5¢ | +45.0% | $725 | +$225 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Noin 22d | 241 | 41.5¢ | 38.5¢ | -7.2% | $93 | -$7 |
Realized history
Closed positions via avg-cost matching
| Market · Outcome | Qty | Avg cost | Avg exit | Realized | Via | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Green…No | 96 | 19.4¢ | 20.0¢ | +$1 | trade | 2026-06-01 01:00 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in May?No | 0 | 53.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-06-01 00:00 UTC |
| Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs | 608 | 46.9¢ | 99.0¢ | +$317 | trade | 2026-05-31 02:49 UTC |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altm…Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0 | 57.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco GiantsChicago White Sox | 24 | 41.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles AngelsTexas Rangers | 48 | 28.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?No | 146 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder | 0 | 52.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs | 0 | 46.9¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under | 241 | 54.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder | 114 | 52.7¢ | 51.2¢ | -$2 | trade | 2026-05-30 17:21 UTC |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | 1,358 | 33.1¢ | 30.9¢ | -$30 | trade | 2026-05-30 16:51 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | 1,480 | 36.5¢ | 29.0¢ | -$111 | trade | 2026-05-30 16:50 UTC |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | 12 | 33.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 | resolution | 2026-05-30 00:00 UTC |
| Athletics vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres | 0 | 56.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No | 470 | 31.9¢ | 68.0¢ | +$169 | trade | 2026-05-29 19:46 UTC |
| Thunder vs. SpursSpurs | 1,825 | 60.0¢ | 97.0¢ | +$675 | trade | 2026-05-29 02:18 UTC |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under | 136 | 47.9¢ | 100.0¢ | +$71 | resolution | 2026-05-29 00:00 UTC |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under | 168 | 14.6¢ | 100.0¢ | +$143 | resolution | 2026-05-29 00:00 UTC |
| Thunder vs. SpursSpurs | 0 | 60.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-29 00:00 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Green…No | 12 | 42.8¢ | 44.5¢ | +$0 | trade | 2026-05-28 19:38 UTC |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | 2,500 | 37.1¢ | 20.9¢ | -$405 | trade | 2026-05-28 15:26 UTC |
| Hurricanes vs. CanadiensCanadiens | 46 | 43.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 | resolution | 2026-05-28 00:00 UTC |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | 364 | 37.1¢ | 63.9¢ | +$98 | trade | 2026-05-27 22:49 UTC |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | 2,102 | 37.1¢ | 52.5¢ | +$324 | trade | 2026-05-27 17:52 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETDown | 136 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 | resolution | 2026-05-27 00:00 UTC |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia PhilliesCincinnati Reds | 0 | 36.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-27 00:00 UTC |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5No | 167 | 45.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 | resolution | 2026-05-27 00:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETUp | 49 | 51.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 | resolution | 2026-05-27 00:00 UTC |
| 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs | 233 | 53.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 | resolution | 2026-05-27 00:00 UTC |
| Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-27?Yes | 62 | 56.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 | resolution | 2026-05-27 00:00 UTC |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle MarinersChicago White Sox | 50 | 49.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 | resolution | 2026-05-27 00:00 UTC |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs | 262 | 49.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 | resolution | 2026-05-27 00:00 UTC |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays | 0 | 57.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-27 00:00 UTC |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altm…Felix Auger-Aliassime | 305 | 57.0¢ | 99.9¢ | +$131 | trade | 2026-05-26 22:13 UTC |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day b…No | 190 | 50.0¢ | 41.0¢ | -$17 | trade | 2026-05-26 19:31 UTC |
| Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | 176 | 25.0¢ | 24.2¢ | -$1 | trade | 2026-05-26 13:46 UTC |
| Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?No | 609 | 41.1¢ | 8.1¢ | -$201 | trade | 2026-05-26 13:46 UTC |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference…Yes | 5,001 | 97.8¢ | 99.9¢ | +$106 | trade | 2026-05-26 04:04 UTC |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Canadiens | 242 | 63.0¢ | 99.0¢ | +$87 | trade | 2026-05-26 02:48 UTC |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under | 208 | 48.1¢ | 99.0¢ | +$106 | trade | 2026-05-26 02:48 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | 174 | 41.7¢ | 67.0¢ | +$44 | trade | 2026-05-26 01:16 UTC |
| Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks | 1,002 | 54.8¢ | 95.2¢ | +$404 | trade | 2026-05-26 01:05 UTC |
| Hurricanes vs. CanadiensCanadiens | 170 | 44.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 | resolution | 2026-05-26 00:00 UTC |
| Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks | 0 | 54.8¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-26 00:00 UTC |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under | 0 | 48.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-26 00:00 UTC |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Canadiens | 0 | 63.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-26 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | 27 | 41.7¢ | 66.0¢ | +$7 | trade | 2026-05-25 23:41 UTC |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs | 263 | 57.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$113 | resolution | 2026-05-25 00:00 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in May?No | 234 | 53.5¢ | 59.0¢ | +$13 | trade | 2026-05-24 21:29 UTC |
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