trader profile
Wickier
0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df
Open MV$50.7K1 positions
Open PnL+$17.9K54.4% on basis
Realized PnL+$173.9K60 closed
Hit rate60%Wilson lower 47%
Volume observed$1.60M265 trades · 80 markets
Current rank—last trade 7d ago
Open book
Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
| Market · Outcome | Size | Avg cost | Current | Δ% | MV | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d | 51,966 | 63.2¢ | 97.5¢ | +54.4% | $50.7K | +$17.9K |
Realized history
Closed positions via avg-cost matching
| Market · Outcome | Qty | Avg cost | Avg exit | Realized | Via | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | 52,086 | 30.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15.7K | resolution | 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | 110,222 | 88.4¢ | 100.0¢ | +$12.8K | resolution | 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | 24,708 | 14.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.6K | resolution | 2026-05-29 18:07 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | 212,233 | 18.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38.6K | resolution | 2026-05-26 00:00 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No | 32,042 | 11.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.6K | resolution | 2026-05-23 00:00 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No | 15,342 | 19.8¢ | 99.9¢ | +$12.3K | trade | 2026-05-22 08:27 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with…No | 12,624 | 18.8¢ | 99.9¢ | +$10.2K | trade | 2026-05-22 08:26 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No | 22,124 | 15.8¢ | 99.9¢ | +$18.6K | trade | 2026-05-22 08:26 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes | 92,880 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.4K | resolution | 2026-05-22 00:00 UTC |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | 28,250 | 19.8¢ | 20.0¢ | +$45 | trade | 2026-05-21 14:00 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | 53,025 | 13.8¢ | 21.1¢ | +$3.9K | trade | 2026-05-21 10:26 UTC |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | 375 | 45.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$169 | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | 110,675 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.0K | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | 111,698 | 5.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$6.0K | trade | 2026-05-12 16:32 UTC |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait…Yes | 4,534 | 95.4¢ | 100.0¢ | +$207 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | 125,031 | 94.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$6.7K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?Yes | 25 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No | 17,996 | 94.8¢ | 100.0¢ | +$935 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | 47,365 | 12.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.0K | resolution | 2026-04-22 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | 39,021 | 49.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19.4K | resolution | 2026-04-21 00:00 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | 10 | 2.8¢ | 89.2¢ | +$9 | trade | 2026-04-20 12:37 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | 5,200 | 2.8¢ | 88.0¢ | +$4.4K | trade | 2026-04-18 11:02 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | 45 | 10.6¢ | 93.4¢ | +$38 | trade | 2026-04-17 19:47 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | 20 | 10.6¢ | 93.5¢ | +$17 | trade | 2026-04-17 19:46 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | 23,000 | 10.9¢ | 36.4¢ | +$5.9K | trade | 2026-04-17 15:51 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | 29,401 | 10.9¢ | 20.4¢ | +$2.8K | trade | 2026-04-15 15:14 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | 50,204 | 16.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$41.8K | resolution | 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | 14,387 | 10.6¢ | 100.0¢ | +$12.9K | resolution | 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…Yes | 73,720 | 19.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14.3K | resolution | 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | 46 | 10.6¢ | 74.2¢ | +$29 | trade | 2026-04-14 09:30 UTC |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | 21,222 | 70.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$6.4K | resolution | 2026-04-13 00:00 UTC |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 20…No | 20,000 | 91.4¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1.7K | resolution | 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | 15,912 | 2.8¢ | 33.2¢ | +$4.8K | trade | 2026-04-08 16:10 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | 29,216 | 2.8¢ | 42.6¢ | +$11.6K | trade | 2026-04-08 13:38 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | 23,268 | 2.8¢ | 44.8¢ | +$9.8K | trade | 2026-04-08 13:34 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | 9,720 | 10.6¢ | 64.3¢ | +$5.2K | trade | 2026-04-08 09:55 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | 29,132 | 2.8¢ | 36.8¢ | +$9.9K | trade | 2026-04-08 00:05 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | 30,000 | 2.8¢ | 64.2¢ | +$18.4K | trade | 2026-04-07 23:07 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | 30,903 | 10.6¢ | 72.7¢ | +$19.2K | trade | 2026-04-07 23:07 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | 30,502 | 10.6¢ | 73.2¢ | +$19.1K | trade | 2026-04-07 23:07 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | 23,626 | 2.8¢ | 43.0¢ | +$9.5K | trade | 2026-04-07 22:40 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | 8,463 | 65.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$3.0K | resolution | 2026-04-07 00:00 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | 42,000 | 2.8¢ | 100.0¢ | +$40.8K | resolution | 2026-04-07 00:00 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box…Yes | 35,961 | 36.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13.2K | resolution | 2026-04-06 00:00 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box…Yes | 513 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 | resolution | 2026-04-06 00:00 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box…Yes | 172 | 36.7¢ | 22.0¢ | -$25 | trade | 2026-04-03 13:14 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | 43,000 | 16.7¢ | 19.0¢ | +$975 | trade | 2026-04-01 20:00 UTC |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes | 9,749 | 42.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.1K | resolution | 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 3…No | 75,203 | 90.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$7.2K | resolution | 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | 101,471 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.3K | resolution | 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC |
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