trader profile

0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86

0x17ed7dbfdcfe228016ac50571182f974d59ac087
Open MV$19.8K12 positions
Open PnL-$1.4K-6.5% on basis
Realized PnL-$4.9K62 closed
Hit rate65%Wilson lower 52%
Volume observed$122.4K200 trades · 76 markets
Current rank—last trade 4d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Noin 208d11,59884.6¢93.7¢+10.8%$10.9K+$1.1K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d5,33168.6¢74.5¢+8.5%$4.0K+$312
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d13,36435.2¢15.5¢-56.0%$2.1K-$2.6K
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United…Yesin 208d1,40521.2¢62.4¢+193.4%$876+$578
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yesin 208d12,0006.1¢5.3¢-13.0%$642-$96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d3,00019.0¢15.5¢-18.4%$465-$105
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d4,00010.0¢7.5¢-25.0%$300-$100
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 202…Yesin 208d96636.0¢30.0¢-16.7%$290-$58
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United…Yesin 208d3,12416.3¢6.5¢-60.1%$203-$305
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appoin…Yesin 208d40030.0¢21.5¢-28.3%$86-$34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yesin 208d15123.0¢21.5¢-6.5%$32-$2
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Noin 208d3080.0¢88.5¢+10.6%$27+$3

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No10,0000.2¢0.0¢-$20resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed…Yes12,0000.2¢0.0¢-$24resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No4,11996.4¢100.0¢+$148resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes4,0439.9¢0.0¢-$401resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?Yes3466.0¢100.0¢+$12resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Yes1,1133.0¢0.0¢-$33resolution2026-06-01 18:07 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No1,93534.3¢43.7¢+$181trade2026-06-01 16:51 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes13,65731.1¢0.0¢-$4.2Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?Yes19023.0¢0.0¢-$44resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes83110.4¢0.0¢-$86resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes4,00041.4¢64.0¢+$904trade2026-05-17 05:06 UTC
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes98831.4¢36.4¢+$49trade2026-05-17 05:03 UTC
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the Un…Yes2618.0¢13.0¢+$13trade2026-05-14 14:33 UTC
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the Un…Yes1,86716.4¢14.0¢-$45trade2026-05-14 14:33 UTC
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the Un…Yes1568.0¢15.0¢+$11trade2026-05-11 10:50 UTC
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes20966.8¢67.0¢+$0trade2026-05-11 09:22 UTC
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the Un…Yes518.0¢18.0¢+$5trade2026-05-10 17:19 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes2,23766.8¢58.0¢-$197trade2026-05-06 09:46 UTC
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the…Yes1791.2¢4.6¢+$6trade2026-05-01 21:35 UTC
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seat…No49748.8¢0.0¢-$243resolution2026-04-29 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No968.0¢0.0¢-$6resolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes1,06118.0¢100.0¢+$870resolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes3,03668.0¢100.0¢+$972resolution2026-04-12 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes2,93290.4¢100.0¢+$281resolution2026-04-07 00:00 UTC
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box…Yes16564.0¢0.0¢-$106resolution2026-04-06 00:00 UTC
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the Un…Yes20520.0¢16.0¢-$8trade2026-04-04 13:54 UTC
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the Uni…No21991.3¢97.2¢+$13trade2026-04-04 13:52 UTC
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ra…Heroic61462.0¢0.0¢-$380resolution2026-04-01 00:00 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No1,53783.3¢100.0¢+$257resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day i…No26079.0¢100.0¢+$55resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?No3,64898.0¢100.0¢+$74resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?Yes1,08768.0¢82.0¢+$152trade2026-03-26 18:17 UTC
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?Yes1,01368.0¢100.0¢+$324resolution2026-03-26 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No768.0¢70.0¢+$0trade2026-03-25 14:25 UTC
Islanders vs. SenatorsSenators60053.0¢100.0¢+$282resolution2026-03-19 00:00 UTC
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the…Yes1,64078.0¢100.0¢+$361resolution2026-03-18 00:00 UTC
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group BLOUD1,00033.5¢34.9¢+$14trade2026-03-17 18:52 UTC
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group BLOUD73124.0¢36.0¢+$88trade2026-03-17 17:40 UTC
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group BLOUD1,11033.5¢0.0¢-$372resolution2026-03-17 00:00 UTC
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes1,8673.7¢4.0¢+$5trade2026-03-14 15:21 UTC
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes5,06198.2¢99.7¢+$76trade2026-03-14 13:06 UTC
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No17750.0¢58.0¢+$14trade2026-03-11 16:12 UTC
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US60028.0¢46.1¢+$109trade2026-03-02 13:34 UTC
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?No47980.1¢100.0¢+$95resolution2026-02-28 00:00 UTC
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Leylah Fernandez…Tjen41648.0¢100.0¢+$217resolution2026-02-23 00:00 UTC
Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes7,24583.8¢0.0¢-$6.1Kresolution2026-02-14 00:00 UTC
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETDown5448.0¢100.0¢+$28resolution2026-02-12 00:00 UTC
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Win…PARIVISION34254.0¢100.0¢+$158resolution2026-01-31 00:00 UTC
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No1,83861.0¢0.0¢-$1.1Kresolution2026-01-31 00:00 UTC
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports71477.0¢100.0¢+$164resolution2026-01-31 00:00 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-01 17:04 UTCSELL80,0000.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:51 UTCSELL1,93543.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 15:23 UTCBUY646.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 14:28 UTCBUY2,62536.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:59 UTCBUY61538.3¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:42 UTCBUY1,60936.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:40 UTCBUY2,49834.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:31 UTCBUY1,63228.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:21 UTCSELL45729.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-31 21:11 UTCBUY13014.0¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 15:13 UTCBUY619.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 09:08 UTCBUY5,00022.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 15:32 UTCBUY4,00034.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-18 07:53 UTCBUY52747.0¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-18 05:22 UTCBUY33110.7¢Starmer out by May 19, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-17 10:26 UTCBUY50010.2¢Starmer out by May 19, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-17 08:10 UTCBUY38666.6¢Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-17 05:06 UTCSELL4,00064.0¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-17 05:03 UTCSELL98836.4¢Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-14 14:33 UTCSELL26113.0¢Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kin…Yes
2026-05-14 14:33 UTCSELL1,92714.0¢Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kin…Yes
2026-05-14 11:05 UTCBUY1,11026.0¢Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-14 10:26 UTCBUY2,30639.0¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-14 05:56 UTCBUY84818.0¢Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kin…Yes
2026-05-11 20:01 UTCBUY35425.9¢Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 19:43 UTCBUY1,05458.9¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 17:55 UTCBUY1043.0¢Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 17:55 UTCBUY3044.0¢Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 17:46 UTCBUY40545.0¢Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 17:46 UTCBUY80056.0¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 17:10 UTCBUY8,41639.5¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 16:59 UTCBUY3537.3¢Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 16:44 UTCBUY21035.0¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 12:28 UTCBUY8735.5¢Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 12:28 UTCBUY82034.0¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 12:28 UTCBUY67063.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 11:34 UTCBUY20930.0¢Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed…Yes
2026-05-11 10:59 UTCBUY16028.9¢Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed…Yes
2026-05-11 10:50 UTCSELL15615.0¢Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kin…Yes
2026-05-11 09:22 UTCSELL20967.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 09:14 UTCBUY73567.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 09:10 UTCBUY1,78266.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 09:10 UTCBUY20935.0¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-10 17:19 UTCSELL5118.0¢Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kin…Yes
2026-05-09 20:49 UTCBUY1,35527.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-09 10:24 UTCBUY9693.7¢Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No
2026-05-08 10:54 UTCBUY885.1¢Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-08 10:52 UTCBUY555.3¢Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-08 09:18 UTCSELL1085.0¢Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?No
2026-05-07 22:09 UTCBUY1,00015.0¢Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kin…Yes