trader profile

Valen9

0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d
Open MV$86.3K7 positions
Open PnL-$1.3K-1.5% on basis
Realized PnL-$19.6K103 closed
Hit rate43%Wilson lower 34%
Volume observed$2.38M809 trades · 172 markets
Current rank#49 · 30dlast trade 61d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026…Yesin 74d30,00081.3¢80.5¢-1.0%$24.1K-$250
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Noin 132d31,76271.8¢63.5¢-11.5%$20.2K-$2.6K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026…Noin 74d21,00081.5¢80.5¢-1.2%$16.9K-$205
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by Dece…Noin 132d13,41273.4¢77.0¢+4.9%$10.3K+$482
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yesin 110d15,00065.0¢61.5¢-5.4%$9.2K-$525
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yesin 132d4,96044.2¢83.5¢+89.0%$4.1K+$2.0K
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Noin 132d2,06572.4¢66.5¢-8.2%$1.4K-$122

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No15544.0¢0.0¢-$68resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No11,03198.8¢99.3¢+$51trade2026-06-20 15:28 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No5,03595.8¢99.2¢+$173trade2026-06-19 23:06 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No4,89871.6¢46.5¢-$1.2Ktrade2026-06-19 23:05 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes32,56734.6¢5.0¢-$9.7Ktrade2026-06-19 21:12 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes17,11434.6¢6.0¢-$4.9Ktrade2026-06-19 21:10 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes35,45121.8¢10.0¢-$4.2Ktrade2026-06-19 06:19 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes35,49321.8¢13.0¢-$3.1Ktrade2026-06-19 04:36 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 202…Yes5,5689.8¢19.0¢+$516trade2026-06-18 23:04 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes10,00033.8¢61.0¢+$2.7Ktrade2026-06-18 18:18 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes1,11532.0¢48.0¢+$178trade2026-06-18 00:14 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes4,00032.0¢45.0¢+$518trade2026-06-17 14:59 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 202…Yes16,19410.3¢0.9¢-$1.5Ktrade2026-06-17 14:49 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 202…Yes10,11110.3¢0.9¢-$948trade2026-06-17 13:08 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes16,23132.0¢47.0¢+$2.4Ktrade2026-06-17 10:48 UTC
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by…Yes17,01633.8¢9.5¢-$4.1Ktrade2026-06-17 07:09 UTC
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by…Yes2,50033.8¢16.0¢-$445trade2026-06-17 07:07 UTC
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by…Yes8,81233.8¢25.0¢-$776trade2026-06-16 23:52 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 202…Yes8,21710.3¢2.9¢-$611trade2026-06-16 23:13 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 202…Yes90110.3¢8.0¢-$21trade2026-06-16 14:32 UTC
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes2,81128.0¢100.0¢+$2.0Kresolution2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 202…Yes2,84810.3¢0.0¢-$293resolution2026-06-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes81,26834.4¢100.0¢+$53.3Kresolution2026-06-15 00:00 UTC
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by…Yes8333.8¢32.0¢-$1trade2026-06-14 21:55 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes12,84214.6¢41.4¢+$3.4Ktrade2026-06-14 21:21 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes24614.2¢11.9¢-$6trade2026-06-14 19:08 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes25,75714.2¢18.7¢+$1.2Ktrade2026-06-14 17:57 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,08013.3¢19.6¢+$68trade2026-06-14 16:27 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes4,13312.0¢9.4¢-$108trade2026-06-14 15:28 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes12,06712.0¢9.0¢-$364trade2026-06-14 14:25 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes22,54512.0¢9.3¢-$610trade2026-06-14 14:14 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes9,92812.2¢10.5¢-$165trade2026-06-14 13:53 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes25,91612.2¢13.3¢+$301trade2026-06-14 12:33 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes15144.0¢38.4¢-$8trade2026-06-14 12:15 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes11,23518.5¢25.3¢+$764trade2026-06-14 12:15 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes8,39318.5¢29.4¢+$908trade2026-06-14 12:15 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes28331.7¢13.0¢-$53trade2026-06-14 12:15 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes49,64012.2¢15.1¢+$1.4Ktrade2026-06-14 12:14 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes8,28812.2¢16.0¢+$317trade2026-06-14 12:13 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes29,13312.2¢16.8¢+$1.3Ktrade2026-06-14 12:13 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes20,51211.8¢22.8¢+$2.3Ktrade2026-06-14 11:08 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes2,69731.7¢30.0¢-$46trade2026-06-14 10:35 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes1,0229.5¢8.6¢-$9trade2026-06-14 05:19 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes11,0009.5¢13.7¢+$456trade2026-06-14 05:15 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes5,1789.5¢5.0¢-$234trade2026-06-13 22:19 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes6,7919.5¢8.0¢-$103trade2026-06-13 22:17 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes5,83015.0¢5.0¢-$583trade2026-06-13 18:58 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes5,02565.4¢80.0¢+$736trade2026-06-13 16:14 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes15,8838.4¢15.0¢+$1.1Ktrade2026-06-13 12:59 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes15,2308.4¢15.4¢+$1.1Ktrade2026-06-13 12:57 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-20 20:48 UTCSELL5568.0¢Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No
2026-06-20 20:47 UTCSELL10,00099.5¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No
2026-06-20 20:23 UTCSELL22270.0¢Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No
2026-06-20 15:28 UTCSELL11,03199.3¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No
2026-06-19 23:14 UTCSELL40,00095.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
2026-06-19 23:14 UTCBUY31,76271.8¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No
2026-06-19 23:06 UTCSELL15,03599.2¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?NoResolved
2026-06-19 23:05 UTCSELL14,89846.5¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No
2026-06-19 22:44 UTCBUY9099.0¢Iran leadership change by June 30?No
2026-06-19 21:59 UTCBUY26789.0¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian president…Yes
2026-06-19 21:49 UTCBUY599.6¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No
2026-06-19 21:12 UTCSELL38,9355.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-19 21:10 UTCSELL17,1146.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-19 16:56 UTCSELL4,0515.8¢Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-19 07:07 UTCBUY15,00088.3¢Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No
2026-06-19 06:19 UTCSELL27,01210.6¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-19 06:19 UTCSELL63,12510.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-19 06:15 UTCBUY5,03595.8¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?NoResolved
2026-06-19 05:21 UTCBUY5,59796.2¢Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes
2026-06-19 04:55 UTCBUY2,76099.3¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No
2026-06-19 04:36 UTCSELL35,49313.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-19 04:35 UTCBUY4,89871.6¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No
2026-06-18 23:04 UTCSELL5,56819.0¢Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-18 21:57 UTCBUY6567.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 21:53 UTCBUY1,13466.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 18:50 UTCBUY9051.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 18:20 UTCBUY1562.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 18:20 UTCBUY1062.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 18:18 UTCSELL10,00061.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 15:15 UTCBUY1563.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 14:48 UTCBUY2064.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 14:26 UTCBUY1566.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 14:26 UTCBUY1066.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 13:54 UTCBUY563.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 11:54 UTCBUY6468.2¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 11:44 UTCBUY770.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 11:42 UTCBUY269.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 11:42 UTCBUY10069.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 11:41 UTCBUY21668.2¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 11:35 UTCBUY9468.9¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 11:06 UTCBUY1562.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 10:51 UTCBUY2065.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 10:49 UTCBUY6065.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 10:49 UTCBUY2064.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 10:48 UTCBUY3265.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 10:48 UTCBUY10165.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 10:48 UTCBUY2064.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 10:47 UTCBUY6864.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 10:46 UTCBUY9565.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 10:45 UTCBUY10364.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes