trader profile
MB1982
0x0eaa43c627cd482acb6866a03fe1138495e0c521
Open MV$52.9K3 positions
Open PnL-$34.2K-39.2% on basis
Realized PnL+$67.7K38 closed
Hit rate29%Wilson lower 17%
Volume observed$505.1K290 trades · 43 markets
Current rank—last trade 9d ago
Open book
Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
| Market · Outcome | Size | Avg cost | Current | Δ% | MV | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May…Yes | 106,007 | 49.1¢ | 25.5¢ | -48.0% | $27.0K | -$25.0K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d | 61,218 | 49.0¢ | 38.5¢ | -21.4% | $23.6K | -$6.4K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yesin 9d | 21,643 | 23.1¢ | 10.5¢ | -54.5% | $2.3K | -$2.7K |
Realized history
Closed positions via avg-cost matching
| Market · Outcome | Qty | Avg cost | Avg exit | Realized | Via | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Yes | 0 | 64.2¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | 0 | 82.9¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | 180,500 | 29.6¢ | 100.0¢ | +$127.1K | resolution | 2026-05-29 19:07 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | 90,003 | 33.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29.7K | resolution | 2026-05-29 19:07 UTC |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes | 120,006 | 21.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26.2K | resolution | 2026-05-18 00:00 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | 80,023 | 22.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17.6K | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | 95,653 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with…Yes | 72,519 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Over | 27,918 | 38.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10.8K | resolution | 2026-05-09 00:00 UTC |
| Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5Over | 1,326 | 20.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$277 | resolution | 2026-05-09 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | 21,375 | 60.6¢ | 0.3¢ | -$12.9K | trade | 2026-04-30 10:45 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | 0 | 60.6¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETUp | 1,414 | 38.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$548 | resolution | 2026-04-22 00:00 UTC |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes | 12,553 | 23.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.9K | resolution | 2026-04-21 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | 50,281 | 17.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$41.7K | resolution | 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | 9,994 | 30.0¢ | 0.3¢ | -$3.0K | trade | 2026-04-13 11:46 UTC |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | 61,469 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.2K | resolution | 2026-04-13 00:00 UTC |
| Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Over | 159 | 18.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 | resolution | 2026-04-13 00:00 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | 0 | 30.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | 13,405 | 2.8¢ | 99.4¢ | +$12.9K | trade | 2026-04-08 17:03 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp | 4,425 | 32.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K | resolution | 2026-04-08 00:00 UTC |
| FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to…Yes | 16,190 | 46.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.4K | resolution | 2026-04-08 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | 0 | 2.8¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-04-07 00:00 UTC |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?Yes | 5,000 | 40.0¢ | 99.9¢ | +$3.0K | trade | 2026-03-02 22:05 UTC |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?Yes | 13,207 | 34.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.6K | resolution | 2026-03-02 00:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown | 4,675 | 38.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$2.9K | resolution | 2026-03-02 00:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown | 3,734 | 41.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K | resolution | 2026-03-02 00:00 UTC |
| Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes | 27,466 | 54.6¢ | 99.9¢ | +$12.4K | trade | 2026-03-01 18:33 UTC |
| Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes | 25,495 | 59.1¢ | 99.8¢ | +$10.4K | trade | 2026-03-01 15:30 UTC |
| Blackhawks vs. AvalancheAvalanche | 990 | 60.0¢ | 99.9¢ | +$395 | trade | 2026-03-01 04:50 UTC |
| Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes | 0 | 54.6¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | 514 | 39.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 | resolution | 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC |
| Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime GoalscorerYes | 724 | 45.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$329 | resolution | 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC |
| Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes | 0 | 59.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC |
| Will Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?Yes | 3,717 | 26.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K | resolution | 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-01?Yes | 22,151 | 29.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.4K | resolution | 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC…Yes | 750 | 16.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 | resolution | 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC |
| Rockets vs. HeatHeat | 594 | 41.1¢ | 99.9¢ | +$349 | trade | 2026-02-28 23:58 UTC |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | 18,136 | 25.5¢ | 1.3¢ | -$4.4K | trade | 2026-02-28 20:49 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | 577 | 82.9¢ | 83.0¢ | +$0 | trade | 2026-02-28 19:20 UTC |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?Yes | 24,340 | 57.0¢ | 78.7¢ | +$5.3K | trade | 2026-02-28 18:59 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | 17,731 | 82.9¢ | 78.2¢ | -$832 | trade | 2026-02-28 16:22 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Yes | 15,228 | 64.2¢ | 99.8¢ | +$5.4K | trade | 2026-02-28 07:55 UTC |
| Rockets vs. HeatHeat | 0 | 41.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | 0 | 25.5¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?Yes | 0 | 57.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | 10,250 | 58.0¢ | 18.0¢ | -$4.1K | trade | 2026-02-22 17:36 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | 7,653 | 26.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | 0 | 58.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | 15,812 | 44.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.0K | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
50 total
Recent trades
Last 50 ingested fills