trader profile

Mantronix

0x073a1caba3c22e9e361ceae83aaa5405706f91e7
Open MV$90.8K7 positions
Open PnL+$44.9K97.7% on basis
Realized PnL+$31.6K26 closed
Hit rate35%Wilson lower 19%
Volume observed$702.1K200 trades · 109 markets
Current rank—last trade 25d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yesin 25d60,3896.9¢72.5¢+946.7%$43.8K+$39.6K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yesin 208d250,00012.2¢14.5¢+18.9%$36.3K+$5.8K
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 885d89,9813.6¢4.3¢+20.6%$3.9K+$666
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yesin 208d34,0008.9¢6.5¢-27.8%$2.2K-$845
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d32,2693.9¢5.3¢+37.2%$1.7K+$468
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yesin 116d16,67014.1¢9.5¢-32.9%$1.6K-$775
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yesin 885d25,8065.3¢5.5¢+1.8%$1.4K+$25

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes3,34934.4¢100.0¢+$2.2Kresolution2027-01-01 00:00 UTC
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes2,45471.2¢100.0¢+$706resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Yes6,16713.0¢0.0¢-$800resolution2026-05-29 10:07 UTC
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Yes9,34630.0¢0.0¢-$2.8Kresolution2026-05-29 10:07 UTC
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?Yes8,98016.7¢0.0¢-$1.5Kresolution2026-05-29 10:07 UTC
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Yes8,79512.5¢100.0¢+$7.7Kresolution2026-05-29 10:07 UTC
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential n…Yes2002.3¢1.8¢-$1trade2026-05-11 16:42 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes2,76148.3¢40.5¢-$218trade2026-05-10 02:13 UTC
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?Yes10838.0¢95.5¢+$62trade2026-04-23 03:29 UTC
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?Yes7,74338.0¢100.0¢+$4.8Kresolution2026-04-23 00:00 UTC
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?Yes7,92167.0¢100.0¢+$2.6Kresolution2026-04-22 00:00 UTC
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of Mar…Yes26162.1¢100.0¢+$99resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes5,22539.0¢50.0¢+$576trade2026-03-25 00:52 UTC
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes6,81445.6¢18.0¢-$1.9Ktrade2026-03-22 18:23 UTC
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansLouisville Cardinals11,23321.2¢21.1¢-$7trade2026-03-21 20:11 UTC
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Award…Yes14814.4¢20.0¢+$8trade2026-03-16 01:57 UTC
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Award…Yes5,50914.4¢0.0¢-$795resolution2026-03-15 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes12,00020.8¢15.0¢-$689trade2026-03-09 18:14 UTC
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes46054.8¢52.5¢-$10trade2026-03-08 20:50 UTC
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March…Yes30420.1¢13.0¢-$22trade2026-03-03 20:45 UTC
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel39,97672.5¢52.7¢-$7.9Ktrade2026-03-01 18:40 UTC
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes80013.8¢12.0¢-$14trade2026-03-01 05:41 UTC
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes1,02246.8¢45.1¢-$18trade2026-03-01 05:40 UTC
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes44228.0¢20.3¢-$34trade2026-02-26 22:39 UTC
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minut…Yes4,85171.9¢99.9¢+$1.4Ktrade2026-02-25 03:58 UTC
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes5,94216.1¢31.9¢+$936trade2026-02-24 04:09 UTC
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes19,92534.4¢91.0¢+$11.3Ktrade2026-02-24 02:00 UTC
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes6,80831.0¢17.0¢-$953trade2026-02-21 17:39 UTC
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes36,00034.4¢83.3¢+$17.6Ktrade2026-02-18 16:54 UTC
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes32,33310.0¢8.0¢-$647trade2026-02-08 19:01 UTC
30 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-11 16:42 UTCSELL2001.8¢Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominatio…Yes
2026-05-11 16:42 UTCSELL42091.0¢Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No
2026-05-10 02:13 UTCSELL2,76140.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-08 20:02 UTCBUY2,76148.3¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-08 19:49 UTCSELL3,00065.0¢Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpursResolved
2026-05-08 01:44 UTCSELL3,30029.5¢SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?DownResolved
2026-05-06 21:35 UTCBUY1,55412.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes
2026-05-06 03:49 UTCBUY51911.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes
2026-05-05 23:29 UTCSELL3,60047.4¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-05-01 22:40 UTCSELL3,30054.0¢Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh PiratesResolved
2026-05-01 22:19 UTCSELL3,30053.0¢Houston Astros vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red SoxResolved
2026-05-01 21:50 UTCSELL1,09444.0¢Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesCincinnati RedsResolved
2026-05-01 20:44 UTCSELL3,50039.0¢Pistons vs. MagicMagicResolved
2026-05-01 20:43 UTCSELL3,50060.0¢Lakers vs. RocketsRocketsResolved
2026-04-28 01:49 UTCBUY1,58415.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes
2026-04-26 19:20 UTCSELL95948.0¢Spread: Celtics (-8.5)CelticsResolved
2026-04-26 18:52 UTCSELL4,50024.0¢Cavaliers vs. RaptorsRaptorsResolved
2026-04-26 18:27 UTCSELL4,50035.0¢Spurs vs. Trail BlazersTrail BlazersResolved
2026-04-26 18:21 UTCSELL5,40046.1¢Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5OverResolved
2026-04-25 19:01 UTCSELL93751.2¢Spread: Knicks (-1.5)KnicksResolved
2026-04-25 18:24 UTCSELL3,04050.0¢Spread: Thunder (-8.5)ThunderResolved
2026-04-25 18:14 UTCSELL2,64045.8¢Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5OverResolved
2026-04-24 19:36 UTCSELL7,50044.0¢Spurs vs. Trail BlazersTrail BlazersResolved
2026-04-24 19:23 UTCSELL7,50051.0¢Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Trail BlazersResolved
2026-04-24 18:29 UTCSELL7,50053.0¢Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpursResolved
2026-04-24 16:37 UTCSELL2,49240.0¢MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?NoResolved
2026-04-24 14:52 UTCSELL27241.0¢MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?NoResolved
2026-04-24 14:24 UTCSELL7,44449.0¢Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5UnderResolved
2026-04-24 13:34 UTCSELL5650.0¢Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5UnderResolved
2026-04-24 13:32 UTCSELL6,40149.0¢Spread: Spurs (-2.5)SpursResolved
2026-04-24 13:30 UTCSELL22653.0¢Spread: Celtics (-6.5)CelticsResolved
2026-04-24 11:24 UTCSELL3,82043.0¢Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5OverResolved
2026-04-24 11:13 UTCSELL4,26449.0¢Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5OverResolved
2026-04-24 11:13 UTCSELL7,50042.0¢Spurs vs. Trail BlazersTrail BlazersResolved
2026-04-24 10:06 UTCSELL2,05050.0¢Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5OverResolved
2026-04-24 10:03 UTCSELL1,66447.0¢Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5UnderResolved
2026-04-23 13:31 UTCBUY4,73435.8¢Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes
2026-04-23 13:28 UTCSELL7,50045.3¢Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5UnderResolved
2026-04-23 13:25 UTCSELL7,50049.0¢Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5UnderResolved
2026-04-23 05:39 UTCSELL3,60144.0¢Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolvesResolved
2026-04-23 04:22 UTCBUY3,26715.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes
2026-04-23 03:29 UTCSELL10895.5¢Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?YesResolved
2026-04-23 02:46 UTCBUY7,85138.0¢Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?YesResolved
2026-04-22 19:03 UTCBUY7,92167.0¢Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?YesResolved
2026-04-22 18:58 UTCSELL7,50056.0¢Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Burnley FCResolved
2026-04-22 18:55 UTCSELL3548.0¢Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5UnderResolved
2026-04-22 18:55 UTCSELL7,50039.0¢AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5UnderResolved
2026-04-22 15:21 UTCSELL93816.3¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?YesResolved
2026-04-22 14:06 UTCSELL7,50055.0¢AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5OverResolved
2026-04-20 21:17 UTCSELL7,50049.0¢Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5OverResolved